Hedgeye

Three ugly economic predictions no one wants to hear

Money laundering, bank break-ups, and corporate dividend cuts. Sorry, we know no one wants to hear it.

By Moshe Silver, Hedgeye

FORTUNE -- Three predictions: The first because we know how the money business works – though we do not have proof to hand.  The second we are certain will happen – because it has long been the obvious step, and because those most directly affected by it, and who stand MORE

Will births come back with the economy?

The number of births in the U.S. has been on the decline since 2007, but there are signs that that trend is about to reverse. Here's how to play it.

By Tom Tobin, Hedgeye

FORTUNE -- Deciding to start a family is an incredibly hopeful act and one that reflects in part the national mood.  It should be no surprise then that birth trends in the United States peaked in 2007 MORE

Why I moved my portfolio to cash

This story we're following on a daily basis won't end well.

By Keith R. McCullough, Hedgeye

FORTUNE -- I'm a storyteller. So are you. We tell ourselves, our families, and firms stories every day. We tend to frame each story within the framework of how we think. How we think drives our decision making. In the end, we are all accountable for those decisions.

I made a decision to go to 100% MORE

14 reasons to worry about Italy

There are many glaring risks about Italy's current debt situation and its dire growth outlook. But the biggest reason to worry about Italy is that it's too big to fail.

By Matthew Hedrick, Hedgeye

FORTUNE -- With eyes focused on Spain's recent €100 billion credit line to recapitalize its banks and investors digesting the results of the Greek elections last weekend, we thought it's important to contextualize the macroeconomic imbalances and MORE

Key ingredient missing in Europe: A plan

All great long-term investments start with a plan. So how did Europe end up without one?

By Daryl Jones, Hedgeye

FORTUNE -- I've always enjoyed reading the quarterly letters and writings of great investors. From my perspective, Baupost's Seth Klarman fits into the category of a great investor. In his first quarter letter to investors this year, he wrote: "We are comfortable missing out on potentially major rallies if they are based MORE

Did Starbucks make one move too many?

Starbucks is taking a risk by entering into two new markets at once -- juice and baked goods. This investment phase will likely put pressure on its stock.

By Howard Penney and Rory Green, Hedgeye

FORTUNE -- Starbucks announced earlier this week that it plans to purchase La Boulange Bakery for $100 million. Investments pertaining to the acquisition will dilute earnings by $0.02 per share in the second half of 2012, and MORE

It's time for more ETF oversight

How one exchange-traded fund could create a global imbalance in the copper market.

By Moshe Silver, Hedgeye

FORTUNE -- The price of copper is a global bellwether, signaling industrial health wherever it trades. When China was in its steroid-induced growth phase, copper was Mr. Universe. Then China coughed and copper caught the mother of all pneumonias. Seeing opportunity in volatility and global range, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) plans to launch an ETF MORE

What the jobs report means for Obama

The dismal numbers in May's unemployment report don't help Obama's case for weak dollar policies -- or for a November win.

By Darius Dale, Hedgeye

FORTUNE -- As we advance through the presidential debate and move nearer to the November general election, the dismal state of the U.S. labor market will likely become an increasingly positive catalyst for the U.S. dollar as a result of it being a negative catalyst for MORE

The worrying opacity in J.C. Penney's earnings

J.C. Penney's announcement that it would cancel its dividend was welcome news after a dismal quarter. But there was a lot more to dislike, especially CEO Ron Johnson's opacity.

By Brian P. McGough, Hedgeye

FORTUNE -- The J.C. Penney story isn't pretty, but it is playing out like it should fundamentally. That's no surprise to us. On June 11, 2011, Hedgeye made the call on The Closing Bell with Maria Bartiromo: MORE

Have we reached the end game in Europe?

Bi-polar sentiment is thriving in global equities. One day bad news matters, the next day good news matters more.

By Daryl G. Jones, Hedgeye

FORTUNE -- In chess, the end game is the point at which there are a relatively limited number of pieces on the board. Many chess analysts disagree as to when exactly the end game begins, but they all agree that when the end game begins, strategy is MORE